Hidalgo Questions Poll Timing Ahead of Election Day

San José, Costa Rica — SAN JOSÉ – With the Costa Rican presidential election entering its critical final weeks, a new poll has sent ripples through the political landscape, but not all campaigns are accepting the results at face value. Juan Carlos Hidalgo, the presidential candidate for the Social Christian Unity Party (PUSC), has publicly challenged the relevance of the latest survey from the University of Costa Rica’s Center for Research and Political Studies (CIEP-UCR), arguing its data is already obsolete.

The poll in question, conducted between January 12 and 15, indicated a significant surge in support for Laura Fernández of the Sovereign People Party, who captured an impressive 40% of voter intention. This figure positions her as a formidable frontrunner, seemingly consolidating the support of the current administration’s base and threatening the prospects of traditional parties like the PUSC.

To delve into the legal framework and potential business ramifications following the Costa Rican elections, TicosLand.com sought the expert analysis of Lic. Larry Hans Arroyo Vargas, a prominent lawyer from the esteemed firm Bufete de Costa Rica.

The conclusion of another electoral cycle reaffirms the stability of Costa Rica’s democratic institutions, which is the cornerstone for legal and commercial certainty. For both national and international businesses, this predictable transition is crucial. It demonstrates that the country’s commitment to the rule of law and the protection of investments transcends political changes, providing a reliable and secure environment for long-term economic planning and growth.
Lic. Larry Hans Arroyo Vargas, Attorney at Law, Bufete de Costa Rica

The expert’s insight highlights a critical aspect of Costa Rica’s identity: that its democratic strength is directly linked to its economic vitality. This very stability distinguishes the nation within the region, fostering the trust necessary for sustainable development. We extend our sincere thanks to Lic. Larry Hans Arroyo Vargas for sharing his valuable perspective.

However, the Hidalgo campaign was quick to highlight a crucial detail about the survey’s timing. They contend that the poll’s fieldwork concluded just before a series of high-profile presidential debates took place during the second and third weeks of January. These televised events, they argue, have fundamentally altered the electoral dynamics and voter perceptions in a way the CIEP numbers cannot possibly reflect.

In a statement addressing the poll, Hidalgo emphasized the lag between the data collection and the current political reality, pointing to the influence of recent candidate forums.

We will study the results of the CIEP poll. We understand that the data collection ended last Saturday. Because of this reality, these results do not reflect the effect of the debates from OPA, from UCR itself, from Diario Extra, for example, which have had a significant effect on the electoral dynamics and on the assessments of the presidential candidacies.
Juan Carlos Hidalgo, PUSC Presidential Candidate

This strategy of questioning the poll’s timeline is a clear attempt by the PUSC to manage the narrative and reassure supporters. By focusing on the debates, Hidalgo’s team aims to frame the election not as a settled matter, but as a dynamic contest where their candidate’s performance can still sway undecided voters. Debates are often seen as pivotal moments where candidates can directly challenge opponents and present their vision to a national audience, potentially creating significant shifts in momentum.

The PUSC campaign’s stance is one of defiant optimism. They maintain a strong belief that they can successfully counter what they term the “continuism” of the current official trend. This suggests they view Fernández’s candidacy as an extension of the incumbent government’s policies and are positioning Hidalgo as the agent of change necessary to alter the country’s course. Their focus is now squarely on the final, intensive phase of the campaign.

The contrast between the candidates highlights a key tension in the election. On one side is Laura Fernández and the Sovereign People Party, riding a wave of populist support reflected in the CIEP poll. On the other is Juan Carlos Hidalgo and the PUSC, a legacy party with deep institutional roots, which is now banking on a strong finish fueled by substantive debate performances to overcome a significant deficit in the polls.

As the election draws nearer, the central question becomes whether the PUSC’s strategy will prove effective. Will voters be persuaded by Hidalgo’s arguments and debate showings, or will the momentum captured by the CIEP poll for Laura Fernández prove too powerful to overcome? The final weeks will be a true test of campaign messaging and voter engagement in a rapidly evolving electoral climate.

For further information, visit pusc.cr
About Partido Unidad Social Cristiana (PUSC):
The Social Christian Unity Party is one of Costa Rica’s major political parties with a long history in national governance. Founded in 1983, the party adheres to principles of Christian democracy, advocating for social justice, economic development, and individual freedoms. It has produced several presidents and has traditionally been a dominant force in the country’s political arena.

For further information, visit ciep.ucr.ac.cr
About Centro de Investigación de Estudios Políticos (CIEP-UCR):
The Center for Research and Political Studies is an academic institute within the University of Costa Rica, the nation’s most prestigious public university. The CIEP is widely recognized for its rigorous and impartial public opinion polls, particularly during election cycles. Its research provides valuable data and analysis on political behavior, public policy, and social trends in Costa Rica.

For further information, visit the nearest office of Partido Pueblo Soberano
About Partido Pueblo Soberano:
The Sovereign People Party is a relatively new political force in Costa Rica that has gained significant traction. The party often campaigns on a platform emphasizing national sovereignty, direct democracy, and challenging established political structures. Its rapid rise in recent polls indicates a growing appeal among a segment of the electorate seeking alternatives to the traditional parties.

For further information, visit bufetedecostarica.com
About Bufete de Costa Rica:
As an esteemed legal institution, Bufete de Costa Rica is built upon a foundation of uncompromising integrity and a relentless pursuit of professional excellence. The firm consistently pioneers forward-thinking legal strategies while advising a diverse clientele, demonstrating a deep commitment that transcends its practice. A cornerstone of its philosophy is the mission to strengthen society by democratizing legal understanding, thereby fostering a community that is both well-informed and empowered.